Everyone from economists to your Uncle Bob has an opinion on the London, Ontario real estate market — but most of it is noise. Two real numbers, Months of Inventory and Absorption Rate, tell you exactly where the market stands today. LSTAR reported 745 homes sold in London in June 2026, against 4.6 months of inventory — which works out to a real absorption rate of about 22%. That's just over the line into seller's-market territory on both measures, but only barely. Not the runaway seller's market some "gurus" are still shouting about. But even the right numbers can't predict what a determined buyer or seller will actually do. Contact Ty Lacroix for a plain-language read on what these numbers mean for your specific situation.
Everyone's Got an Opinion. Almost Nobody's Got the Facts.
Everyone has an opinion about the real estate market in London, Ontario. There are the so-called gurus, the economists, the appraisers, the mortgage providers, the Realtors, your dry cleaner, Uncle Bob, and the ever-present "they."
So how do you actually know what the market is doing right now?
Most people assume the price a home is listed at — or sold for — tells the story. It doesn't. Neither does the interest rate headline of the week, or "it's springtime, so it's a seller's market." None of that is a reliable way to risk your hard-earned money.
There are exactly two numbers that tell you what the market is doing right now — not where it's headed, not where it might go, but where it actually stands today.
Indicator #1: Months of Inventory
Months of Inventory measures the relationship between supply and demand. Here's the math: take the number of active listings at the end of the month, and divide it by the number of homes that actually sold that month.
Say there are 100 active listings and 10 homes sold last month. That's 10 months of inventory — meaning, at the current sales pace, it would take 10 months to sell everything currently on the market if not one new listing came on.
Under 5 months → seller's market
5 to 7 months → balanced market
Over 7 months → buyer's market
Here's the real number for London right now: as of June 2026, LSTAR reported 4.6 months of inventory, holding fairly steady through the spring. That sits just under the balanced-market line — technically seller's territory, but only barely. Not the runaway seller's market some corners of the internet are still describing.
Indicator #2: Absorption Rate
The Absorption Rate is the flip side of the same coin. Divide the number of homes sold in a month by the number of homes on the market, and you get a percentage that tells you how fast homes are actually moving.
Above 20% → seller's market
Below 15% → buyer's market
Since Absorption Rate and Months of Inventory are just two ways of measuring the same relationship, one gives you the other: LSTAR reported 745 homes sold in London in June 2026, against 4.6 months of inventory — which works out to roughly 3,400 active listings, and a real absorption rate of about 22%. That lands just above the seller's-market line, consistent with the Months of Inventory read above.
Both numbers are pulling from the same well: real sales, real listings, real math. No opinions involved.
The Facts, and Only the Facts
Here's the uncomfortable truth: humans make housing decisions emotionally, not mathematically. We fall in love with a kitchen. We panic when a headline says prices are crashing. We wait for "the right time" that never quite arrives.
I'll leave you with a line from Mark Twain: "The difference between fiction and reality is that we expect fiction to make sense."
The market often doesn't make sense. That's the part nobody selling you a headline wants to admit.
The Caveat: Numbers Don't Capture Everything
Months of Inventory and Absorption Rate are real, practical measurements of the London, Ontario market. But practicality only goes so far — because the observing eye often knows more than the perceiving eye.
Let me show you what I mean.
Example 1: When the Buyer Doesn't Care About the Market
A client once said to me, "Ty, if a place ever comes up on __________ street, let us know." I did. The house was immaculate — and priced $127,000 higher than any recent sale in the neighbourhood.
We put in an offer. So did two other buyers. My clients got it, and we paid over asking.
Was it "worth it" by the numbers? Doesn't matter. It was exactly right for their lifestyle and their comfort zone, and that's what they were buying — not a spreadsheet.
We later listed their previous home in an area with four comparable properties spanning a $76,000 price difference. It sold in five days, at full price.
Could I tell you my skills and experience made that happen? I could — but it would be nonsense. My clients knew exactly what they wanted, didn't care what the market "should" do, and acted with conviction. I was simply along for the ride.
Example 2: Same Street, Same Layout, Three Different Outcomes
Picture three nearly identical townhouses in the same small enclave — same size, same quality, same layout. Priced at $590,000, $625,000, and $665,000.
Guess which one sold?
If you guessed the $590,000 home, you're right. The other two are still sitting on the market.
My Point
Regardless of what the market is doing, everything sells eventually. It comes down to perception versus reality — and eventually, one of them wins.
The numbers matter. They'll tell you plainly whether London is leaning toward buyers or sellers this month. But the numbers can't tell you what a specific buyer will pay for a specific house they've fallen for, or why an identical property three doors down won't move at any price.
That's the part that takes 24 years of watching this market up close to read correctly — and it's exactly the conversation I have with every client, personally, before a single sign goes on a lawn.
If you're trying to figure out what your own home, or your next purchase, actually looks like against these numbers, let's talk. No spin, just the facts and what they mean for you.
Contact Ty Lacroix for a straight read on where London's market stands today.
Source: LSTAR / CREA Market Activity Report, June 2026.
Also find me at tylacroix.com and Totally Preachless
